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India covid 191/12/2024 "That means that if you have a susceptible population, whether they're unvaccinated or they haven't been infected previously, it can find them and infect them," he said. ( Reuters: Krishna N Das)ĭavid Anderson, from the Burnet Institute in Melbourne, said "endemic" normally just meant that a disease was always present in a population. Some areas in India - particularly those less affected in the second wave - are still experiencing outbreaks. That's why Kerala, which was less affected during the second wave, was experiencing a surge now, she said. India would continue to have "ups and downs in different parts of the country" in areas that were less affected in the first and second waves or with lower levels of vaccine coverage, she said. "We may be entering some kind of stage of endemicity, where there is low-level transmission or moderate-level transmission going on but we are not seeing the kinds of exponential growth and peaks that we saw a few months ago," Dr Swaminathan said. WHO chief scientist Soumya Swaminathan late last month told The Wire that while India would probably experience a third wave, it would likely not be as severe as the second. 'We may be entering some stage of endemicity' "In fact, hydroxychloroquine was reported to be in widespread use well prior to the country's second-wave outbreak."Įxperts - including the ivermectin's manufacturers - have repeatedly said there was no evidence the drugs were effective in treating COVID-19. "There is no evidence that new guidance on the use of ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine led to a reduction in COVID-19 cases in India," they found. Conspiracy theories about ivermectin and hydroxychloroquineĪ conspiracy theory going around at the moment is that India began treating people en masse with hydroxychloroquine or ivermectin and that was responsible for the fall in cases and deaths.ĪAP fact checked the claim and found it was baseless. "Vaccination rates have also increased massively in India since the second wave, with more than 10 million doses being administered each day for the last few days," he said. He said the high rate of antibodies from exposure was helping to keep a lid on the situation for the moment. "While lockdowns hammer the curve directly, natural exposure during leaky lockdowns facilitates that hammering," Dr Mutreja said. University of Cambridge researcher Ankur Mutreja told the ABC the combination of the state lockdowns and the increase in natural immunity combined to flatten the curve. "It also created awareness about the need to wear masks, avoiding crowds et cetera." "The massive community spread in COVID-19 in the second wave earlier this year meant a lot of people were exposed - symptomatic or otherwise," Dr Bhaumik said. "Kerala has more restrictions now because cases are increasing, but other states, which have low cases, have fewer." "There is no 'lockdown' now but movement restrictions appropriate to the transmission are now being implemented in different states in India," he told the ABC. However, he said, life was not back to a pre-COVID normal.Ĭases were low across most of India but there had been a surge in Kerala in the past few days, he said. Soumyadeep Bhaumik, from the George Institute India in New Delhi, said the health system was now "functioning normally" and focusing on vaccination. This week, less than 2 per cent of Delhi's COVID-19 beds were occupied.īusiness has picked back up and schools are reopening in some states. In May, Delhi's health system was completely overwhelmed, with medical oxygen supplies exhausted, leading to distressing images of makeshift outdoor crematoriums. While the usual caveats apply about numbers being underestimated due to inadequate testing and reporting, it's clear that things have improved India-wide.
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